Andy Kessler is an irreverent, flip and highly readable writer who poses an interesting single question and than doggedly pursues an answer, with a lot of biting asides to entertain the reader. The question is, given the exponential decline in cost of technology in Silicon Valley and its exponential increase in power and effectiveness, why hasn’t medical technology turned over the same returns to deliver more effective health care at a cheaper cost. There are a number of reasons including the inherent slowness of the treatment and study process, the FDA, entrenched economic interests and the focus on treatment rather than prevention.
Continue reading "THE END OF MEDICINE: How Silicon Valley (and Naked Mice) Will Reboot Your Doctor by Andy Kessler, Collins 2007. " »
Recent developments in brain scanning through technological refinements of SPECT, fMRI and PET scans that monitor water, blood and/or glucose movement in the human brain to observe actual brain functioning as opposed to structure are providing a wealth of new information concerning its organization, complexity and integration. Ray Kurzweil believes that exponential improvements in the temporal, spatial resolution and bandwidth of the human brain which is doubling each year, will successfully enable us to reverse engineer the human brains principals of operation in the first half of this century. This will result in that he calls the “Singularity” where machine based intelligence surpasses that of all humans combined, creating a disruptive transformation in human capability. This capability he believes will be a billion times more powerful that all of human intelligence today.
Within several decades information based technologies will encompass all human knowledge and proficiency, ultimately including the pattern recognition powers, problem solving skills, and emotional and moral intelligence of the brain itself.
Continue reading "THE SINGULARITY IS NEAR: When Humans Transcend Biology. by Ray Kurzweil, Viking Press, 2005." »
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If one had to design a health care system that would seem doomed to failure one might start with one in which the providers of care were fragmented, independent and driven through the reimbursement system to provide ever more services that generate higher income on a fee for service basis. The system would provide care to patients who were isolated from the economic costs of the services by third party payments, through employer funded insurance coverage. Third party payers would make their money through reducing premium payouts, by simply delaying or not paying out what they contracted to provide or extorting deep provider discounts in exchange for directed volume. The approach to care of individual patients would be ad hoc, without significant oversight. Severely ill patients would be passed back and forth by all providers like the black queen of spades in a deck of cards. Bad debts would be written off as “charity care.” Insurance premiums would rise faster than the world’s oceans in global warming. Sound familiar?
Continue reading "THE EVOLUTION OF INTEGRATED HEALTH CARE DELIVERY SYSTEMS AND THE SINGULARITY" »
There is much anticipation over the soon to be released new edition of the Diagnostic and Statistical Manuel of Mental Disorders (DSM –V) by the American Psychiatric Association (“APA.) It is due in 2012. There are many interests involved in the development and recognition of categories of mental disorders. (There is still controversy over whether there is mental “illness,” but there is more congruence over the existence of “disorders.” The late poet, Theodore Roethke, once wrote, “What is mental illness, but nobility of soul at odds with circumstance?” The APA, the psychiatric profession, the pharmaceutical industry and other groups have a much bigger and more complex investment in the definition of categories of mental illness.
Continue reading "DSM –V: THE NEXT FRONTIER OF MENTAL ILLNESS (IF IT IS ILLNESS)." »
Many of the seniors showing up at congressional town hall meetings on health care reform – at least those drawing the media’s attention seemed to be in serious need of adult supervision. The antics before the cameras seemed bent on disruption and venting of anger almost as much as the display of ignorance that seemed to pervade these events. Sure, the Seniors seemed to be angry at a lot of things in addition to health care. They also seemed to be spurred on by irresponsible seniors-caring tactics by those commentators that have no ethical compunction against the intentional “misreading” of the text of the proposed house and inflammatory media ads by radical fringe groups 60plus.org. to further political ends.
Continue reading "HEALTH CARE REFORM PART II: MAURAUDING SENIORS INVADE TOWN HALL." »